Egidio
Synthesis · 2026

Why fraud is exploding right now

It's not one single factor, but several combining at the same time. Here are the five documented changes that explain the acceleration of recent years.

🤖Generative AI changed the scale

The FBI created a dedicated descriptor for "AI-related" complaints in 2026 — 22,000 reports and nearly $900 million in losses in the very first year. On the voice side alone, deepfake fraud attempts rose 1,300% in 2024. AI doesn't create new scams: it lets a single scammer run hundreds at once, with unprecedented realism.

FBI (IC3, 2026) · Pindrop, 2025 Voice Intelligence and Security Report

🗂️Data breaches fuel the targeting

The average global cost of a data breach reached $4.44 million in 2025 ($10.22 million in the United States, a record). Every large-scale breach puts names, phone numbers and addresses into circulation — the raw material for a scammer who personalizes their approach rather than calling at random.

IBM, Cost of a Data Breach Report 2025

📡A structured industry behind spam

The European operation "SIMCARTEL" (October 2025) exposed a single SIM-farm network that made 49 million fake online accounts possible. This isn't a cottage industry anymore: it's an on-demand rental service, operating at industrial scale.

Europol & Eurojust, October 2025

📞Raw volume keeps climbing

The average monthly volume of fraud and telemarketing calls rose from 2.14 billion in 2024 to 2.56 billion per month in 2025 — up 20% in a year. Losses from fraudulent calls specifically targeting people over 60 topped $4.57 billion in 2024, in the United States alone.

PIRG, Ringing in Our Fears 2025 · FBI (IC3), 2024

💻Remote work blurs the usual cues

With a growing share of the workforce fully or partly remote, professional exchanges by text, video call or messaging app have become the norm — which makes a fake job offer or a fake message from a "colleague" far more credible than it was a decade ago, when those exchanges went almost exclusively through a verifiable work email.

See also the recruitment fraud report

What these five factors have in common

None of these changes is isolated — they reinforce each other. A data breach supplies the raw material, a SIM farm supplies the number, generative AI supplies the script and sometimes the voice, and remote work supplies a context where receiving an unexpected work message no longer surprises anyone. It's this combination, not a single factor, that explains the acceleration.

🔒 Facing factors that combine, protection that only looks at one channel at a time is structurally behind. That's the very principle behind Medusa, Egidio's engine — connecting the channels together. See how it works.

Frequently asked questions

When did scams really start exploding?

The main indicators (losses reported to the FBI, fraudulent-call volume, cost of data breaches) show continuous acceleration over several years, with a particularly sharp jump since the arrival of mainstream generative AI.

Is artificial intelligence the only factor?

No. It adds to other already-documented factors: the explosion of data breaches that feed scammers personal information, the spread of remote work, and a structured industry (SIM farms, call centers) that has professionalized fraud at scale.

Is this going to stop?

Nothing in current reports suggests a slowdown — quite the opposite, several bodies (Europol, ENISA) document growing sophistication. That's exactly why protection that keeps adapting continuously, rather than a fixed list, remains necessary.

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